The Sub.Standard

Hillary Decides to Quit

After she won the Puerto Rico Democratic primary on Sunday, Sen. Hillary Clinton had faint hope, but Tuesday that faint hope disappeared as she lost in Montana.  Though she did actually beat Sen. Barack Obama in South Dakota, it wasn’t enough.  She was bleeding superdelegates by that point, and Sen. Obama had gained enough delegates with pledged and superdelegates to guarantee him the Democratic nomination for President.

Wednesday, news broke that Sen. Clinton would announce on Saturday that she was suspending her campaign and endorsing Sen. Obama.  Now, speculation can begin about what role she will play in his campaign.  Did the campaign drive a wedge between them personally big enough to keep her from a high-level position, like Vice Presidential nominee?  Does she want to be Vice President, or would she rather wait four or eight years to try to be nominated again.  Vice Presidents are almost the nominee of their party after the Presidents they serve finish their terms (after being reelected), but they rarely win the election.  President George H.W.

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It’s Official: Obama Wraps Up Nomination–Almost

It was another split decision yesterday with Sen. Hillary Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama both getting big primary wins.  Sen. Clinton won in Kentucky by 35 percentage points, and Sen. Obama won in Oregon by 16 percentage points.  Obama was the big winner, however, since by most estimates he secured enough pledged delegates yesterday to give him a majority of those total pledged delegates.

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Hillary wins big: too little too late?

Sen. Hillary Clinton won the West Virginia primary yesterday by a whopping 41 percentage points, but even this probably won’t save her campaign.  It adds up to a net gain of ten delegates while over 20 superdelegates have committed to Sen. Barack Obama in the last week.

Sen. Clinton says she’s in until the end of the primary season, which will encompass five more primaries over the next three weeks.  Believe it or not, there are more delegates at stake in the Puerto Rico primary than in Montana and South Dakota combined.  Puerto Ricans living in Puerto Rico (as opposed to a state) cannot vote in the general election, but they could give Sen. Clinton a huge boost if she stays in that long.  Puerto Rico hasn’t had any meaningful influence in a Presidential nomination race since 1980 when statehood supporters went to eventual President Jimmy Carter and statehood opponents went to Sen. Ted Kennedy.

Meanwhile, former Republican Sen.

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Split Decision: Clinton wins Indiana, Obama wins North Carolina

The title doesn’t say it all.  Sen. Hillary Clinton won Indiana by only 2 percentage points while Sen. Barack Obama won in NC by 15 points.  This means that Clinton will not get very many more delegates out of Indiana than Obama, and the difference between Obama’s delegates and Clinton’s delegates in NC will make up for Clinton’s Pennsylvania win two weeks ago.

Can Clinton stay in?  She’s saying yes right now.  Her argument right now is that she won Indiana, which borders Obama’s home state of Illinois, her national poll numbers are increasing, she has a lead in superdelegates, and Michigan and Florida delegates have not been but should be counted.

These arguments seem desperate at best, though, and superdelegates may start to abandon Sen.

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Clinton wins Pennsylvania

Well, Sen. Hillary Clinton did what she had to do to stay in the race and even won the Pennsylvania Democratic primary Tuesday with a wide enough margin to at least begin to make the case that Barack Obama is weakening and that he can’t sustain his popularity with the voters into the general election.  She managed a 10 percentage point win in a state where she was slipping in the polls right up until a few days before the primary when Sen. Obama said some not nice things about small town Pennsylvania voters that got him in trouble.

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Pennsylvania Democratic Primary: Hillary’s last gasp?

Take a good look.  This might be the last time you see Hillary Clinton on a national stage for awhile.  If she loses today’s primary in Pennsylvania, she is most likely out of the Democratic for the Presidential nomination.  Trailing in delegates, popular vote, and number of states won, and, maybe most importantly, out of money, she would have very little reason to continue her quest for the Presidency.

Now, the good news for her:  She is leading in the polls in Pennsylvania by 5-10 points over Sen. Barack Obama.  However, even that isn’t untainted good news because she was leading by 20 points just a couple of weeks ago!  If she wins big, she’s on the comeback trail.  If she wins by fewer than 10 points, look for her to limp on to Indiana and North Carolina in two weeks.  If she loses, that’s the end for her and her bid to be the first female President (If you’re thinking she was already President, get some new jokes).

By the way, if you can’t figure out why the picture doesn’t quite look life like, even for Hillary, the portrait was painted when Sen.

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Pro-Life Democrats Support Obama

For a long time now, I’ve thought that there needed to be a change in the tone of the debate over abortion.  I don’t adhere blindly to the well-worn belief that “bipartisanship is good.”  Healthy debate is good, and there are times when people are elected because of what they believe in.  No, the reason I think the tone of the abortion debate needs to change is that we pro-lifers aren’t getting anywhere the way we’re going now.

If we take a step back, we realize that there are two major roadblocks to making at least abortion on demand illegal.  The first is the Roe v. Wade Supreme Court Decision of 1972.  Before any significant change in abortion law can happen, this case must be overturned.  Right now, there is a 4-4 split amongst conservative and liberal justices on the Supreme Court, with one justice who sometimes sides with conservatives and sometimes with liberals on the bench.  So, it is conceivable that Roe v. Wade could be overturned, but don’t hold your breath.  That brings me to the second hurdle.  Even if Roe v. Wade is overturned, states would have to enact laws to illegalize (NAW) abortion on demand.  Otherwise, it would continue–unless we try another strategy.

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Hillary Clinton Lies?


Ok, so TSS hasn’t given much ink to Hillary Clinton, or John McCain for that matter, so in the interest of trying to give bad press to all the candidates equally, herein lies a Hillary Clinton story.

So, you can judge for yourself whether Sen. Clinton intentionally lied about her trip to Bosnia in 1996 or if she just imagined the danger involved.  What I do know is that her opponents will see this as just another Clinton lie, lumping her husband’s sins in with hers.  Is this fair?  It’s fair to have that opinion, but it’s not necessarily reality.

Many will say this is just another politician lying to get elected.  Maybe.  Maybe not.