The Sub.Standard

Split Decision: Clinton wins Indiana, Obama wins North Carolina

The title doesn’t say it all.  Sen. Hillary Clinton won Indiana by only 2 percentage points while Sen. Barack Obama won in NC by 15 points.  This means that Clinton will not get very many more delegates out of Indiana than Obama, and the difference between Obama’s delegates and Clinton’s delegates in NC will make up for Clinton’s Pennsylvania win two weeks ago.

Can Clinton stay in?  She’s saying yes right now.  Her argument right now is that she won Indiana, which borders Obama’s home state of Illinois, her national poll numbers are increasing, she has a lead in superdelegates, and Michigan and Florida delegates have not been but should be counted.

These arguments seem desperate at best, though, and superdelegates may start to abandon Sen.

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Clinton wins Pennsylvania

Well, Sen. Hillary Clinton did what she had to do to stay in the race and even won the Pennsylvania Democratic primary Tuesday with a wide enough margin to at least begin to make the case that Barack Obama is weakening and that he can’t sustain his popularity with the voters into the general election.  She managed a 10 percentage point win in a state where she was slipping in the polls right up until a few days before the primary when Sen. Obama said some not nice things about small town Pennsylvania voters that got him in trouble.

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Obama surging: Can he be stopped?

If you’re curious and don’t know the difference between a delegate and a primary, check out this FAQ.
After the Super Tuesday Democratic primaries and caucuses on February 5, when 24 states (that’s 1 fewer than half, for our 1st grade readers) chose their pledged delegates, Sen. Hillary Clinton had a lead in both states won and delegates earned. Since then, Sen. Barack Obama has won ten straight states and now holds a lead in delegates earned. So, can he be stopped? Yes. For one thing, he still needs 857 delegates, and with the number of states left to vote shrinking, it still could be difficult. For another thing, the momentum of the race has shifted more than once before during the campaign.

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